Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.711105 2.892624 3.086126 3.308782 3.559210 3.833721 4.159532
2025-12-21 2.436564 2.685295 2.965474 3.308208 3.721497 4.211055 4.846364
2025-12-28 2.259159 2.540402 2.868458 3.286242 3.814724 4.476764 5.396699
2026-01-04 2.088028 2.380518 2.730040 3.188085 3.788163 4.572520 5.723252
2026-01-11 1.989715 2.297414 2.673482 3.179911 3.866435 4.802942 6.257269
2026-01-18 1.935737 2.262930 2.671786 3.237631 4.032172 5.166364 7.042412
2026-01-25 2.028375 2.417777 2.921824 3.651259 4.738214 6.419258 9.550796
2026-02-01 1.903269 2.280818 2.774330 3.497625 4.594260 6.331883 9.694263
2026-02-08 1.783817 2.145584 2.621690 3.325679 4.406185 6.148246 9.614568
2026-02-15 1.719300 2.080620 2.561514 3.283173 4.413927 6.292194 10.218074
2026-02-22 1.648826 2.004352 2.481506 3.205540 4.357973 6.316960 10.575702
2026-03-01 1.576597 1.922854 2.390413 3.105704 4.257583 6.249991 10.714861
2026-03-08 1.499798 1.837771 2.298145 3.010775 4.178016 6.249535 11.110389
2026-03-15 1.455941 1.796982 2.267880 3.010384 4.259927 6.572478 12.442006
2026-03-22 1.410981 1.752080 2.228472 2.991568 4.306309 6.832326 13.735389
2026-03-29 1.351433 1.683996 2.151541 2.907370 4.227781 6.822554 14.250574
2026-04-05 1.317343 1.650540 2.123882 2.900347 4.287494 7.116498 15.888530
2026-04-12 1.300531 1.640867 2.130831 2.949901 4.456902 7.689121 18.944983
2026-04-19 1.357132 1.739974 2.308471 3.302561 5.269358 10.083957 34.090805
2026-04-26 1.298439 1.666176 2.213172 3.172066 5.077129 9.777790 33.803617
2026-05-03 1.238984 1.589708 2.111285 3.025329 4.840331 9.314258 32.108957
2026-05-10 1.207148 1.553678 2.072147 2.988940 4.836867 9.525782 35.766008
2026-05-17 1.170424 1.509210 2.017932 2.922360 4.762005 9.513980 37.782591